Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 52.1% on 13 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 13 Apr 2024 to 15 Jun 2024, the highest close was 52.5% on 30 May 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 52.5% on 30 May 2024. $12.26K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 15, 8:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 13 Apr 2024 – 15 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2024 | 52.1% |
| 15 Jun 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.77K |
| kjg | Yes | 33.33 |
| avvi | Yes | 1.01 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an ANC candidate other than Cyril Ramaphosa is elected as the President of South Africa following the election scheduled for May 29, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Interim or acting presidents will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no president is instated by the end of 2024, or another ANC candidate is not elected, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results from South Africa, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/south-africa-election-who-will-be-next-president
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 0.17 |
| VBJXFGJHGF | Yes | 0.03 |
| YUUIRIUY | Yes | 0.02 |
| GFJDFGHDFG | Yes | 0.02 |
| YUTIYUIO | Yes | 0.02 |
| DFGHSDHSFDGH | Yes | 0.02 |
| TUERTYUETY | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
