What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 31 Mar 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to the US federal agency that is #1 on the DOGE "Agency Efficiency Leaderboard" under the "Most Total Savings" filter on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). If there is a tie between two agencies, this market will resolve in favor of the agency whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is available here: https://doge.gov/savings

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

2 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Apr 1, 5:40 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/which-agency-will-be-most-efficient-end-of-march) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Will another agency be most efficient on March 31?

Market referencewill-another-agency-be-most-efficient-on-march-31Updated Apr 1, 2025 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Mar 31, 2025 UTCdogeus-government

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.9K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 31, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Apr 1, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Apr 1, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

20 / 6.36K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

$1.46K

Yes sell at 0.1%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-11 pts

Range

0.4% - 11.5%

Feb 26, 12:00 AM UTC to Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC	0.6%	0.6%
Mar 30, 12:00 AM UTC	0.6%	0.6%
Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC	0.5%	0.5%

Which agency will be most efficient end of March?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will another agency be most efficient on March 31?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will another agency be most efficient on March 31? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which agency will be most efficient end of March?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 31 Mar 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to the US federal agency that is #1 on the DOGE "Agency Efficiency Leaderboard" under the "Most Total Savings" filter on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). If there is a tie between two agencies, this market will resolve in favor of the agency whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is available here: https://doge.gov/savings
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC

0.6%

Mar 30, 12:00 AM UTC

0.6%

Mar 29, 12:00 AM UTC

0.5%