Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 7% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 15.9% on 5 Mar 2025 and the low 1.8% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 15.9% on 5 Mar 2025. $8.9K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 3:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 26 Feb 2025 – 31 Mar 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 7.0% |
| 31 Mar 2025 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.36K |
| BigSmolE | No | 0.03 |
| low.iq.games | No | 0.02 |
| split | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the US federal agency that is #1 on the DOGE "Agency Efficiency Leaderboard" under the "Most Total Savings" filter on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). If there is a tie between two agencies, this market will resolve in favor of the agency whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is available here: https://doge.gov/savings
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-agency-will-be-most-efficient-end-of-march
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