Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 62.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 79% on 8 Feb 2025 and the low 50% on 25 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 52.5% on 9 Feb 2025. $168.93K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 4:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 38 points · 25 Jan 2025 – 3 Mar 2025 · axis zoomed to 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | 50.0% |
| 3 Mar 2025 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 34.89K |
| JayVance | No | 135.68 |
| kremlebot | No | 95 |
| Yeeepeeee1337 | No | 26.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the film that wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No." If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-best-original-screenplay
| JohnnyCash7 | Yes | 0.05 |
| epstes | Yes | 0.02 |
| sosolan | Yes | 0.02 |
| Cajetan | No | 0.02 |
| Classic-Male | No | 0.02 |
| luckystone315 | Yes | 0.02 |
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