Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 26 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 111 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2025 to 13 Jan 2026, the highest close was 71.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 6.5% on 12 Dec 2025. $32.52K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 15, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 26 Sep 2025 – 13 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2025 | 46.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.88K |
| GUADANHAO | Yes | 3K |
| k1tten | Yes | 2K |
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2025, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the percentage increase in Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2025 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), scheduled to be released in January 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If the report for December 2025 is not released by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve according to the last figure published. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/december-inflation-argentina-annual
| Yes |
| 1.5K |
| r0d1ll4s | Yes | 1.06K |
| manxobastos | Yes | 999.99 |
| vonguch | Yes | 999.99 |
| Grouchy-Elver | Yes | 603.41 |
| 0xSatanas | Yes | 570.54 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 393 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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