Analytics
Resolved No on 12 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85%. Yes opened at 26% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 33.5% on 24 Apr 2026 and the low 15% on 12 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 22.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $49.62K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 13, 1:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 19 Apr 2026 – 12 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 26.0% |
| 12 May 2026 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.25K |
| Scornful-Extreme | Yes | 2.58K |
| StefanD | Yes | 2.1K |
| johnedison | Yes | 2K |
| COLBY451 | Yes | 1.5K |
| Privateel | Yes | 899.7 |
| marko55 | Yes | 631.44 |
| babyshark. | Yes | 499.99 |
| Andize | Yes | 382.94 |
| CitadelOfCope | Yes | 274.82 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/april-inflation-us-annual
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