Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 1.28K | $0.775 | $1.18K | +$191.56 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.270 | $30 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 383.9 |
| $0.805 |
| $355.11 |
| +$45.91 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 269.93 | $0.963 | $266.97 | +$6.97 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 302.78 | $0.575 | $222.54 | +$48.54 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 210.53 | $0.950 | $207.16 | +$7.16 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 224.27 | $0.617 | $200.72 | +$62.4 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August? | No | 212.77 | $0.940 | $199.15 | -$0.85 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 113.64 | $0.880 | $113.24 | +$13.24 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in August? | No | 102.14 | $0.979 | $101.89 | +$1.89 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 100.91 | $0.991 | $100.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 103.41 | $0.967 | $99.74 | -$0.26 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | No | 136.76 | $0.731 | $93.68 | -$6.32 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.270 | $33.89 | +$3.89 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 103.41 |
| $0.967 |
| $100 |
| 7d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.91 | $0.991 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 102.78 | $0.720 | $74 | 7d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 61.6 | $0.974 | $60 | 20d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 20d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 955.08 | $0.136 | $129.56 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | 20d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in August?No | buy | 102.14 | $0.979 | $100 | 20d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?No | buy | 136.76 | $0.731 | $100 | 20d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | 20d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 192.3 | $0.500 | $96.15 | 20d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 101.73 | $0.983 | $100 | 28d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.960 | $200 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 207.25 | $0.965 | $200 | 28d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?No | buy | 133 | $0.979 | $130.21 | 28d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?No | buy | 22.07 | $0.991 | $21.87 | 28d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?No | buy | 50 | $0.978 | $48.9 | 28d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?No | buy | 51 | $0.983 | $50.13 | 28d ago |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 69.83 | $0.716 | $50 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 103.33 | $0.900 | $93 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 162.34 | $0.924 | $150 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 204.5 | $0.978 | $200 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Yes | buy | 28.4 | $0.704 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.782 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 105.65 | $0.947 | $100 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 102.91 | $0.972 | $100 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11? | buy | 4.73 | $0.205 | $0.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?No | buy | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?No | buy | 201.82 | $0.991 | $200 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?No | buy | 308.03 | $0.974 | $300 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 202.43 | $0.988 | $200 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 800 | $0.245 | $196.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.76K | $0.285 | $500 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 120.85 | $0.993 | $120 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | buy | 162.17 | $0.617 | $100 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?No | buy | 146.46 | $0.990 | $145 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 243.9 | $0.820 | $200 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?No | buy | 124.73 | $0.930 | $116 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?No | buy | 84.21 | $0.950 | $80 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | buy | 162.1 | $0.617 | $100 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.780 | $109.2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?Yes | buy | 19.19 | $0.520 | $9.98 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?No | sell | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?No | buy | 15.73 | $0.890 | $14 | Jun 10, 2026 |