Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.5%. Yes opened at 33% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 38% on 18 Dec 2025 and the low 4.5% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 8% on 19 Dec 2025. $62.86K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 40 points · 6 Dec 2025 – 13 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 33.0% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 6.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.04K |
| BettingForTuition | Yes | 1.99K |
| Snappy-Stockintrade | Yes | 1.69K |
| PhongLeXBT | Yes | 1.57K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2025, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending in December 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for December 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/december-inflation-us-annual
| TENETENET | Yes | 824 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 593.6 |
| Formal-Jackal | Yes | 350 |
| Conscious-Kilt | Yes | 135.5 |
| Secondary-Coevolution | Yes | 100 |
| Lilwewe | Yes | 100 |
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