Will annual inflation be 3.4% in May?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 10, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$20.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 10, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 13 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 10 Jun 2026, the highest close was 2.5% on 13 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 May 2026. $19.99K traded over the market's life.

43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 10, 2:41 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 13 May 2026 – 10 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 May 2026	2.5%
10 Jun 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	29.97K
Kuezed	Yes	7.06K
Bigggggggg	Yes	1.61K
korda77	Yes	1.24K

10 of 43 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.