Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 9 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2024 to 10 Oct 2024, the highest close was 4.5% on 9 Oct 2024 and the lowest 3.5% on 10 Oct 2024. $849.81 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 9:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Oct 2024 – 10 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2024 | 4.5% |
| 10 Oct 2024 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.79K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Nobel Prize in Literature for the current year.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nobel-prize-in-literature
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
