Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49.5%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 176 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 30 Sep 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 21 May 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 21 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 49.5% on 30 Sep 2026. $1.57K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 2:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 176 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 30 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 22.5% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 955.31 |
| pepe112 | No | 15.79 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 5 |
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Kevin Vallejos is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Kevin Vallejos is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Kevin Vallejos is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-who-will-kevin-vallejos-fight-next
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 4.92 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.3 |
| Lucerys | Yes | 0.21 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 0.2 |
| luciebot | Yes | 0.08 |
| balthazar | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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