Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 9.5% on 4 Sep 2025 and the low 0.1% on 14 Oct 2025. $51.71K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 8:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 14 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2025 | 9.5% |
| 14 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.46K |
| RoWinner19 | Yes | 2.9K |
| Gabarx | Yes | 1.47K |
| JoeKent | Yes | 307.69 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Tuscany on October 12-13, 2025. If no candidate for President of Tuscany is elected with more than 40% of the votes in the first round of this election, a run-off will be held fourteen days later. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Tuscany (Regione Toscana – Consiglio regionale, https://www.regione.toscana.it/osservatorio-elettorale).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tuscany-presidential-election
| cowcat | Yes | 210 |
| astropeppe | Yes | 142.86 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 132.99 |
| Banicja | Yes | 108.03 |
| FishyAF | Yes | 100 |
| aaacz | Yes | 83.33 |
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