Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?No | buy | 115.77 | $0.860 | $99.56 | Jun 8, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 126.69 |
| $0.789 |
| $100 |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 37.22 | $0.986 | $36.7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Chubb and AIG merger announced by January 31?No | buy | 19.69 | $0.990 | $19.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?No | buy | 14.52 | $0.957 | $13.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 28.9 | $0.751 | $21.7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 17.78 | $0.956 | $17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Pelosi vs. S&P - JanuaryPelosi | buy | 23.61 | $0.720 | $17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.951 | $19 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.954 | $18 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 19.27 | $0.934 | $18 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 12.73 | $0.943 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.02 | $0.999 | $19 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Volodymyr Zelenskyy in jail by December 31?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.989 | $13.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | buy | 14.53 | $0.991 | $14.4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.989 | $11.7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 12.37 | $0.986 | $12.2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 13.38 | $0.957 | $12.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?Yes | buy | 12.18 | $0.969 | $11.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 19.51 | $0.989 | $19.3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.945 | $15 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No | buy | 12.19 | $0.984 | $12 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 13.54 | $0.960 | $13 | Dec 3, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No | buy | 16.84 | $0.950 | $16 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Wings of Starlight (Allison Saft) win Readers' Favorite Young Adult Fantasy & Sci-Fi in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?No | buy | 16.11 | $0.993 | $16 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Kristina Mills be voted off of Survivor season 49 on December 3?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.994 | $15 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Up Only podcast released by December 31?No | buy | 17.3 | $0.867 | $15 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No | buy | 12.47 | $0.994 | $12.4 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by November 30?No | buy | 19.04 | $0.940 | $17.9 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?No | buy | 21.32 | $0.812 | $17.3 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?No | buy | 18.56 | $0.970 | $18 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?No | buy | 23.33 | $0.900 | $21 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 30.4 | $0.987 | $30 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by November 30?No | buy | 28.72 | $0.940 | $27 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by November 30?No | buy | 20.26 | $0.987 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 23.91 | $0.962 | $23 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 43.95 | $0.967 | $42.48 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 90.45 | $0.987 | $89.27 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Alessandro Tomasi win Tuscany Regional Election?Yes | buy | 108.03 | $0.031 | $3.3 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 40.53 | $0.987 | $40 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 43.96 | $0.910 | $40 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.999 | $24 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?Yes | buy | 107.07 | $0.999 | $106.96 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 90.45 | $0.995 | $90 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No | buy | 100.91 | $0.991 | $100 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Another US military action against Iran before August?No | buy | 197.05 | $0.994 | $195.87 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 195.87 | $0.980 | $191.95 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 178.47 | $0.999 | $178.29 | May 20, 2025 |
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?No | buy | 118.03 | $0.990 | $116.85 | Apr 4, 2025 |