Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 82.5%. Yes opened at 59% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 190 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 16 Jul 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.3% on 6 Jul 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 5 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 49% on 20 Jun 2026. $111.66K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 16 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 59.0% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Somber-Ice | No | 13.11K |
| Blind Chicken | No | 6.74K |
| TeenagePanda | No | 2K |
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-taylor-swift-and-travis-kelces-wedding
New to prediction markets?
| RustyScissors | No | 2K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 1.11K |
| frozenriver | No | 1K |
| arbdiscovery | No | 759.88 |
| Strict-Quicksand | No | 434.55 |
| Yellow-Rotation | No | 387.62 |
| galhammerman | No | 204 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
