Analytics
Yes is at 26%, up 8 points from 18% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 78 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 13 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 57%; a month before, 36.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 25.5% on 16 Sep 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Quarters”.
$718.36 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $211.26, with a 34.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 62 trades, $184.78 bought Yes and $88.58 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ABC12345654321 with 120 shares; the largest No position is Suburban-Ecliptic with 50.
Trading closes on 14 Jan 2027, 76 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 18.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ABC12345654321 | Yes | 119.85 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | No | 50 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 39.95 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the quarterfinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "quarterfinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which eight teams remain (the four first-round winners plus the four teams seeded 1–4 that received first-round byes). A team counts as reaching the quarterfinals if it is scheduled to play in a quarterfinal game, whether by receiving a top-4 seed and a first-round bye or by winning its first-round game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the quarterfinal round is not played by January 13, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoffs-team-to-make-quarters-20260803204244637
37 more markets, none above 38.0%.
| extractive-manatee | No | 30 |
| ZhouCD | No | 28.12 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Yes | 20 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Yes | 7.69 |
| prizr | Yes | 0.42 |
| Kastellvalen | Yes | 0.16 |
| FFFF3 | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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