Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 20 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2023 to 6 Dec 2023, the highest close was 51% on 20 Oct 2023 and the lowest 19.5% on 5 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 22.5% on 21 Oct 2023. $40.73K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 3:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 20 Oct 2023 – 6 Dec 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2023 | 51.0% |
| 6 Dec 2023 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Outrageous-Plaster | Yes | 1.47K |
| Sbaby | Yes | 1.47K |
| betterbettor86 | Yes | 437 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2023-time-person-of-the-year
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 167.74 |
| FalconNiner49er | Yes | 75 |
| DegenGuelfas | Yes | 25 |
| ▲T▲ | No | 0.08 |
| Scipio Fabius | No | 0.06 |
| adxxc | Yes | 0.05 |
