Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 94.5% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2025 to 18 Jul 2025, the highest close was 100% on 17 Jul 2025 and the lowest 94.5% on 16 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 100% on 17 Jul 2025. $29.59K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 1:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 18 Jul 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | 94.5% |
| 18 Jul 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.74K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 696 |
| Malganis | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Democratic Primary for the Arizona's 7th congressional district special election. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/az-7-democratic-primary-winner
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