Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 22 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 169 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2023 to 8 Mar 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 7 Mar 2024 and the lowest 37.5% on 7 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 51 points up, to 88.5% on 20 Oct 2023. $137.7K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 3:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 169 points, 22 Sep 2023 – 8 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2023 | 50.0% |
| 8 Mar 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-senate-primary-who-will-advance
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