Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 19 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 65.5% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 6 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 58 points up, to 65.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $41.97K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 1:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 19 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.16K |
| seal7 | Yes | 7.16K |
| flawfence | Yes | 3.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-oakland-county-winner-20260721153909098
| Yes |
| 1.15K |
| Zohmentum | Yes | 1.13K |
| Feisty-Router | Yes | 713.06 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 503.44 |
| xixihaha8879 | Yes | 133.33 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd | Yes | 101.99 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
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