Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 72% on 19 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2024, the highest close was 99.5% on 30 Sep 2024 and the lowest 72% on 19 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 83.5% on 21 Sep 2024. $47.71K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 11:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 19 Sep 2024 – 30 Sep 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2024 | 72.0% |
| 30 Sep 2024 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.32K |
| perkinsberyl | No | 100 |
| mothalacka | No | 5 |
| sam663 | Yes | 1.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market over which company will be the largest by market cap at market close on September 30, 2024.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/largest-company-on-september-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Walmart | Yes | 1.18 |
| slorenc | No | 0.29 |
| Orbatis | Yes | 0.09 |
| Jackard | Yes | 0.08 |
| web3.rainbow | Yes | 0.08 |
| Opanar | Yes | 0.07 |
