Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 50% on 11 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 11 Sep 2026 and the low 4% on 10 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 36.5% on 12 Sep 2026. $886.55 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 10:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 11 Sep 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PPMT | Yes | 25.58 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the team winning 1st place at the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026, currently scheduled for October 3 to October 17, 2026, is a Western team. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Western team is a team that qualified for the tournament through the LEC (Europe / EMEA), the LCS (North America), or the CBLOL (Brazil). Teams that qualified through the LCK (South Korea), the LPL (China), or the LCP (Asia-Pacific) are not Western teams. If the winner of the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026 is not determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizers, TJ Sports and Huya. However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Demacia_Cup_Global_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-western-team-win-the-demacia-cup-global-invitational-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
