Analytics
Yes is at 98.9%, up 49 points from 50% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 3 Oct 2026. The current quote, 98.9%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 98.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 90%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 73.5% on 9 Oct 2026.
$2.02 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.08K since listing. The order book holds $6.25K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 71 trades, $3.43K bought Yes and $79.93 bought No; the largest was a $1K buy of Yes at 83.6¢.
The largest Yes position is DuckerZ with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Numitus1994 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 92.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Dec 2026, 48 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 98.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DuckerZ | Yes | 1.2K |
| Numitus1994 | No | 1.1K |
| mpyh | Yes | 569.6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one Western team reaches the Knockout Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Western team is a team that qualified for the tournament through the LEC (Europe / EMEA), the LCS (North America), or the CBLOL (Brazil). Teams that qualified through the LCK (South Korea), the LPL (China), or the LCP (Asia-Pacific) are not Western teams. A team that enters the Swiss Stage through the Play-In keeps the region it qualified through. A team is considered to have reached the Knockout Stage if it is officially confirmed as one of the eight teams advancing from the Swiss Stage to the Knockout Stage (quarterfinals). If the Knockout Stage field is not determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-western-team-reach-the-worlds-2026-knockout-stage
| Anjun |
| No |
| 333 |
| 3000to6666 | Yes | 228.46 |
| 2B9S | No | 110 |
| testsmith365 | Yes | 103.89 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 102.17 |
| ViscaElBarca | No | 100 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | No | 79 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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