Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 16 Sep 2026 and the low 0.3% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 22% on 22 Sep 2026. $1.34K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 1:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 17 points · 16 Sep 2026 – 2 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | 49.5% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.26K |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 150 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.99 |
This market will resolve according to the region of the team winning 1st place at VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. A team's region is the VCT international league (Americas, EMEA, Pacific, or China) through which it qualified for the tournament, as designated by the organizer, Riot Games. If the winner of VALORANT Champions 2026 is not determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are officially declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the region of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used. Regions counted in VALORANT Champions 2026: - Americas - EMEA - Pacific - China
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/valorant-champions-2026-winning-region
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 86 |
| PiEDawg | Yes | 78 |
| Better-Browsing | Yes | 50 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 43.18 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 37.93 |
| Garmonbozia | Yes | 36.7 |
| balthazar | Yes | 19.84 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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