Will a presidential candidate say Mog at BTC conference?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Jul 28, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$55.7K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 28, 2024 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Jul 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 26 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2024 to 28 Jul 2024, the highest close was 11.5% on 26 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.3 points down, to 0.3% on 28 Jul 2024. $55.73K traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 29, 8:49 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Jul 2024 – 28 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Jul 2024	11.5%
28 Jul 2024	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
ILoveDomer	Yes	502.67
Grand-Battle	Yes	22.22
daroghi	No	0.04
CompulsiveGambler	No	0.01

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On July 25, rasmr (@rasmr_eth) tweeted that he was going to attempt to get a presidential candidate to say "mog" (see: https://x.com/rasmr_eth/status/1816506518558347559). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any former or current Democratic or Republican party presidential candidates who participated in the 2024 election cycle, or Robert F. Kennedy Jr., says the word(s) "mog", "mogs", "mogged" and/or "mogging" at the 2024 Nashville Bitcoin Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this will be video evidence of a candidate saying mog. Note: It is not necessary for rasmr to be directly involved in the candidate saying mog in order to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.