Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 145 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 6 Jan 2026, the highest close was 37.5% on 17 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 9.5% on 24 Nov 2025. $580.27K traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 145 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 6 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | 24.0% |
| 6 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 332.17K |
| SuperSight | Yes | 72.39K |
| Sorrowful-Bribery | Yes | 20K |
This market will resolve to the movie with the third highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/third-highest-grossing-movie-in-2025
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 16.63K |
| Spotted-Cork | Yes | 7.05K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 6.43K |
| Raulen | Yes | 6K |
| Yo7016 | Yes | 5K |
| Shameless-Thread | Yes | 4.46K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 2.65K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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