Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 27% on 5 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 120 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 27% on 5 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 23 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 9.5% on 6 Sep 2025. $17K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 5 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2025 | 27.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 578 |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 372.27 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 242.64 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Justin Bieber song reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 between September 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Billboard.com.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-justin-bieber-song-reach-1-this-year
| Yes |
| 226 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 174 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 161 |
| hairyotter | Yes | 111.11 |
| punta | Yes | 103.45 |
| Shaunalynne77 | Yes | 100 |
| Berrie | Yes | 83.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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