Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 5% on 1 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2023 to 1 Dec 2023, the highest close was 6.5% on 3 Nov 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 23 Nov 2023. $1.41K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Dec 1, 7:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 1 Nov 2023 – 1 Dec 2023, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2023 | 5.0% |
| 1 Dec 2023 | 0.8% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between November 1 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" after November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met. For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall. This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-in-november
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