Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 2 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2023 to 30 Aug 2023, the highest close was 95.5% on 30 Aug 2023 and the lowest 14% on 26 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 64% on 27 Aug 2023. $4.63K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 10:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 2 Aug 2023 – 30 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2023 | 43.0% |
| 30 Aug 2023 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Meek-Diagram | No | 15 |
| CrudeOilThomas | No | 5.06 |
| pittaviator | No | 2.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between August 1 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" after August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met. For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL This market will resolve based on an initial announcement released by NOAA that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Resolution source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-in-august
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