Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.75 in October?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 22, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$29.7K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 22, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 22 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 44% on 30 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2025 to 22 Nov 2025, the highest close was 44% on 30 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 5.5% on 31 Oct 2025. $29.74K traded over the market's life.

33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 23, 4:33 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 30 Oct 2025 – 22 Nov 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Oct 2025	44.0%
22 Nov 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	16.57K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	4.55K
Cookedtan	Yes	2.74K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.02K

10 of 33 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the October data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The October release is presently scheduled for November 13, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.