Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$187.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 11, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Jun 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 13.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 15 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 15 May 2025 to 11 Jun 2025, the highest close was 86.5% on 11 Jun 2025 and the lowest 39.5% on 15 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 64.5% on 18 May 2025. $187.22K traded over the market's life.

28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 12, 4:24 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 15 May 2025 – 11 Jun 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 May 2025	39.5%
11 Jun 2025	86.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	18.17K
Rekt345	Yes	4.91K
Valuebettt	Yes	2.67K
Bright Atlas 5403	Yes	690

10 of 28 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 11, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.