Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?Yes | buy | 650.3 | $0.810 | $526.74 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 526.74 |
| $0.944 |
| $497.22 |
| Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?Yes | buy | 497.22 | $0.647 | $321.9 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 447.07 | $0.720 | $321.89 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 447.08 | $0.510 | $228.01 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | sell | 240.02 | $0.950 | $228.02 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 861.67 | $0.012 | $10.34 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | sell | 11 | $0.940 | $10.34 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | buy | 251.02 | $0.940 | $235.96 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Cursor support Grok-3 before April?Yes | buy | 262.96 | $0.894 | $235 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will "Conclave" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?No | buy | 252.87 | $0.860 | $217.47 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will "Wicked" win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 218.08 | $0.963 | $210 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | buy | 233.08 | $0.770 | $179.47 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Walmart buy TikTok?No | sell | 187.93 | $0.955 | $179.47 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok?No | buy | 187.93 | $0.962 | $180.79 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No | sell | 182.43 | $0.991 | $180.79 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will another country launch a memecoin in February?No | buy | 194.39 | $0.940 | $182.73 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 182.43 | $0.740 | $135 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.770 | $140 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 168.62 | $0.918 | $154.79 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.910 | $140 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 140.94 | $0.700 | $98.66 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 107.3 | $0.932 | $100 | Dec 1, 2024 |