Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9% on 11 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 176 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 43.6% on 23 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 6% on 24 Sep 2025. $10.18K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 9:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 176 points, 11 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2025 | 9.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DemoMan | Yes | 279.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 253.98 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 225.94 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-country-leave-brics-before-the-end-of-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 172.92 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 161.91 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 145 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 104 |
| toxf1 | Yes | 100 |
| greenduck | Yes | 50 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 48.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
