Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.060 |
| $6 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.044 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?Yes | buy | 100.88 | $0.337 | $34 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 97.94 | $0.337 | $33 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.978 | $61.13 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.060 | $6 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.48K | $0.008 | $11.57 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Zama launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 259.11 | $0.922 | $238.9 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.017 | $1.68 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Zama launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 259.11 | $0.696 | $180.42 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 363.55 | $0.220 | $79.98 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 177.3 | $0.200 | $35.46 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Zama launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 41.23 | $0.860 | $35.46 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 297.4 | $0.200 | $59.48 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?No | sell | 68.99 | $0.808 | $55.77 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.37 | $0.380 | $14.2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Over 20M humans verified on World Network by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 506.91 | $0.270 | $136.99 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Zama launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 59 | $0.900 | $53.1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Felix Protocol launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will UAE airdrop aid into Gaza?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Egypt airdrop aid into Gaza?No | buy | 120.09 | $0.017 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Germany airdrop aid into Gaza?No | buy | 94.02 | $0.106 | $10 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia win Intervision 2025?Yes | buy | 51.16 | $0.430 | $22 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.991 | $49.55 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 103.54 | $0.270 | $28 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Pump.fun >$10B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.916 | $91.56 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.258 | $25.8 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jun 13, 2025 |