Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 12 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2025 to 24 Feb 2025, the highest close was 11% on 15 Feb 2025 and the lowest 2.3% on 24 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 8.1% on 13 Feb 2025. $33.26K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 25, 4:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 12 Feb 2025 – 24 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2025 | 2.5% |
| 24 Feb 2025 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.8K |
| redflaged | No | 0.02 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 0.02 |
| dolmil | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 31st Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2024, will be presented on February 23, 2025, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sag-award-best-cast-in-a-motion-picture
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