Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 5 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 61.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 82% on 26 Feb 2026.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 4:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 5 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 61.5% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dcsbb | No | 251 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| bjprolo | No | 100 |
| xiaodouzi | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with potential runoffs on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. A candidate may win the primary “outright” by winning >50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins Democratic primary for United States Senator from Texas outright in the first round of this primary election. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a candidate has won outright in the first round may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-candidate-win-outright-in-the-texas-dem-senate-primary
| SheloveSatoshi | No | 50 |
| PX5300 | No | 30 |
| asfdt30 | No | 15.41 |
| 656yertr | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| 10gukjgjhgh | No | 0.02 |
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