Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 29 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 May 2025 to 5 Jun 2025, the highest close was 52.5% on 29 May 2025 and the lowest 13.5% on 4 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 18.5% on 1 Jun 2025. $3.24K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 May 2025 – 5 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2025 | 52.5% |
| 5 Jun 2025 | 16.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ravenfrank78 | Yes | 20 |
| R31 | Yes | 6.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 1st Democratic Primary Debate for New York City's 2025 Mayoral Election is scheduled for June 4, 7 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term by any candidate regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Use of the term by a moderator or commentator will not count. Pluralizations/possessive forms of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled debate previously specified. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not made available by June 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayoral-1st-democratic-primary-debate-mentions
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