Analytics
Yes is at 44.5%, down 18 points from 62% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 292 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 28 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 48.5%; a month before, 48%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 50% on 29 Apr 2026.
$116.01 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.06, with a 71.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 10 shares; the largest No position is bbcdaddy69 with 14.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 292 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 62.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 44.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bbcdaddy69 | No | 13.51 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 9.59 |
| 15rob | Yes | 8.95 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 6 or more tokens launched in 2026 end the year with an FDV above $1B. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data). Stablecoins, LSTs, liquidity pool tokens, or synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-6-coins-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-above-1b-fdv
| .0. |
| No |
| 3.43 |
| 30sdfdsf | No | 3.32 |
| IrthBirth | Yes | 2.89 |
| Wide-Eyed-Ramen | No | 2.7 |
| Radiant-Ashram | Yes | 1.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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