Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76%. Yes opened at 70% on 9 Feb 2024. Before it settled, the high was 89.5% on 5 Mar 2024 and the low 57.5% on 16 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 84.5% on 19 Feb 2024. $171.98K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 9 Feb 2024 – 11 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2024 | 70.0% |
| 11 Mar 2024 | 76.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2024 shows an increase of 1.38°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of 1.38°C or greater for February 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for February 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2024 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."
Resolution source: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-2024-have-the-hottest-february-on-record
| 68D00B23d | No | 0.27 |
| Ancountless | Yes | 0.09 |
| ohwell | Yes | 0.02 |
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