Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 8.75K | $0.636 | $4.42K | -$1.15K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.064 | $111.42 | 9d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2K |
| $0.595 |
| $969.99 |
| -$219.99 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 1.34K | $0.066 | $17.41 | -$71.61 |
 Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 14.8 | $0.060 | $2.29 | +$1.41 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.110 |
| $55 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 824.02 | $0.067 | $55.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 504.33 | $0.066 | $33.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.080 | $96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.052 | $52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.738 | $737.7 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.570 | $285.09 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.465 | $232.41 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes | sell | 489.97 | $0.250 | $122.49 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 100.27 | $0.052 | $5.21 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 722.27 | $0.970 | $700.66 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 287.48 | $0.971 | $279.06 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 722.26 | $0.970 | $700.64 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.933 | $1.88K | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.581 | $232.59 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 308.4 | $0.055 | $16.96 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 283.89 | $0.282 | $80.03 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 173.9 | $0.630 | $109.56 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 283.89 | $0.114 | $32.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.036 | $40.56 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.041 | $47.24 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 214.4 | $0.052 | $11.08 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?No | buy | 264.88 | $0.860 | $227.8 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.79K | $0.005 | $18.96 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 14.6 | $0.917 | $13.39 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.835 | $417.5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.945 | $1.52K | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 239.82 | $0.416 | $99.79 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 444.5 | $0.086 | $38.14 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 748.43 | $0.660 | $493.96 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 6.22K | $0.011 | $68.44 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 140.66 | $0.073 | $10.22 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.47K | $0.465 | $684.79 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 1K | $0.660 | $660 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.410 | $603.39 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.020 | $21.09 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 139.82 | $0.430 | $60.12 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | buy | 196.22 | $0.530 | $104 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.187 | $194.04 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | sell | 830.14 | $0.253 | $209.72 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 11.98K | $0.978 | $11.71K | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 205 | $0.267 | $54.73 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.959 | $1.55K | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.433 | $108.25 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 485.72 | $0.264 | $128.29 | Aug 23, 2025 |