Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2025 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 29.5% on 10 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 9.5% on 11 Jan 2025. $5.4K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 4:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 12.5% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.5K |
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 13 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to"Yes if between 20 (Inclusive) and 23 (Inclusive) Democratic Senators vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.7511 by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.751. Any subsequent votes will not be considered. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-democratic-senators-vote-for-laken-riley-act
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