Analytics
Resolved Trump on 10 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Trump at 99.8%. The Trump side opened at 91% on 3 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2024 to 10 Jul 2024, the highest close was 99.8% on 7 Jul 2024 and the lowest 91% on 3 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.8 points up, to 97.8% on 4 Jul 2024. $44.82K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 4:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Trump price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 3 Jul 2024 – 10 Jul 2024, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Trump price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2024 | 91.0% |
| 10 Jul 2024 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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