Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?

This market will resolve to “Senate” if the first funding bill signed by the President after October 1, 2025, was first passed by the U.S. Senate. This market will resolve to “House” if the first funding bill signed by the President after October 1, 2025, was first passed by the U.S. House of Representatives. If no funding bill is signed into law by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. Partial or symbolic actions, such as introducing a bill without passage, will not qualify. The determination will be based strictly on the final passage of the funding bill that is ultimately signed into law. If both chambers pass the qualifying bill on the same calendar day, the chamber whose roll call vote was completed earlier according to Congress.gov timestamps will be deemed to have moved first. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-chamber-will-move-first-on-a-funding-bill