Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, down 14 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
The high was 14.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the low 0.4% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 1.1% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “Where will it rain on October 19?”.
$3.17K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.43K since listing. The order book holds $26.87, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 70 trades, $130.32 bought Yes and $845.37 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Rosy-Suppression with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is Sunnydays with 2.7K.
Trading closes on 20 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 7:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sunnydays | No | 2.73K |
| Roomservice | No | 1.31K |
| Rosy-Suppression | Yes | 999.68 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on October 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-october-19-2026
2 more markets, none above 0.1%.
| Winged-Holder |
| Yes |
| 983.61 |
| choochbaby | Yes | 746.51 |
| cosmicsteaks | Yes | 483 |
| Bright Horizon B200 | Yes | 225 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 190.45 |
| Tugsbank2 | Yes | 170 |
| hfv | Yes | 87.82 |
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