Analytics
Resolved Venezuela on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Venezuela at 91.5%. The Venezuela side opened at 51.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 91.5% on 8 Mar 2026 and the low 51.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 72% on 28 Feb 2026.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 6:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Venezuela price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 27 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Venezuela price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 51.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 432614799197 | Israel | 1.71K |
| lpcapital1 | Israel | 342.47 |
| Peanuts- | Israel | 199.99 |
| sirmisterk | Israel | 90 |
| Misty Oracle 1D15 | Israel | 55.56 |
| Lavincey | Israel | 30 |
| lummoart | Israel | 21.11 |
| Coral Sphinx EDA5 | Israel | 19.6 |
| Crisp-Iron | Israel | 16.07 |
| leo815.tw | Israel | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the World Baseball Classic game between Venezuela and Israel, scheduled for March 7 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Venezuela" if Venezuela wins the game. This market will resolve to "Israel" if Israel wins the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this event will be the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video/streaming evidence) may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wbc-ven-isr-2026-03-07
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