Analytics
Resolved Italy on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Italy at 100%. The Italy side opened at 51.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 8 Mar 2026 and the low 51.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 72% on 28 Feb 2026.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 12:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Italy price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Italy price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 51.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 432614799197 | Brazil | 990.89 |
| presnyash | Brazil | 883.09 |
| lpcapital1 | Brazil | 324 |
| cbdhsdha | Brazil | 267.85 |
| Necessary-Submarine | Brazil | 170 |
| Avarice31 | Brazil | 101.11 |
| omoi0i0 | Brazil | 96.77 |
| Lavincey | Brazil | 90.33 |
| MEV-PM | Brazil | 52 |
| ganjubas22 | Brazil | 48.43 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the World Baseball Classic game between Italy and Brazil, scheduled for March 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy wins the game. This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil wins the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this event will be the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video/streaming evidence) may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wbc-ita-bra-2026-03-07
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