Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.8% on 24 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 2.5% on 25 Jul 2024 and the low 0.2% on 1 Aug 2024. $117.69K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 24 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2024 | 1.8% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Artsipappa | Yes | 136.67 |
| apt | Yes | 136.36 |
| Loose-Carboxyl | Yes | 80 |
| Winner999 | Yes | 50 |
| Scornful-Codepage | Yes | 34.48 |
| Ray69 | Yes | 33.33 |
| Numb-Task | Yes | 5 |
| juju2929 | Yes | 3.33 |
| riverfishing | Yes | 3.33 |
| 80100220 | Yes | 3.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On July 22, during a campaign event in which Biden called in, Kamala said “I know you’re still on the rec…on the call.” prompting speculation that it wasn’t a live call-in but a recording (see: https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1815674259487826385). This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence emerges that Joe Biden's call during Kamala Harris's campaign event on July 22 was pre-recorded or AI-generated by July 31, 2024, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/was-biden-campaign-call-fake
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