Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 83 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 61% on 11 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 24 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 33.5% on 6 Feb 2026. $14.72K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WavisDay | Yes | 497.09 |
| MartySupreme123 | Yes | 229.5 |
| tailhunter | Yes | 214 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/veo-4-released-by
| Yes |
| 200 |
| Indigo Raven BA64 | Yes | 147.93 |
| Snug001 | No | 137 |
| mykimyke | Yes | 51.56 |
| zyxzyxzyx | Yes | 50.88 |
| Meek-Mortal | Yes | 33.33 |
| Emerald Oracle 4F35 | Yes | 32.26 |
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