Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 19 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 8 Sep 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 25 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5.5% on 23 Aug 2026. $314.94 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 9, 9:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 8 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 54.5% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| Papique | Yes | 61.06 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Comfortable-Survivor-Attenuation | Yes | 24.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Tier 2 team wins the VCT Americas 2026 Stage 2 playoffs, currently scheduled for July 16 to September 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Tier 2 team means any team that is not one of the partnered (franchised) organizations of VCT Americas for the 2026 season. Whether the organization holds league partner status is the sole determinant. Teams that entered Stage 2 through the Play-In path as Challengers participants are examples of Tier 2 teams. Partnership status will be assessed as of the start of VCT Americas 2026 Stage 2. Winning Stage 2 means being declared the champion of the VCT Americas 2026 Stage 2 playoff bracket. Winning a group, the Play-In, or any individual match will not qualify. If VCT Americas 2026 Stage 2 is cancelled, postponed beyond September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no champion is declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games and the VALORANT Champions Tour; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vct-americas-2026-tier-2-team-to-win-stage-2
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| a5533 | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
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