Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 60% on 19 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 8 Sep 2026, the highest close was 60% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 8 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 1.1% on 3 Sep 2026. $748.28 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 9, 9:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 8 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 60.0% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| crckr | Yes | 231.64 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20.6 |
| a5533 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Tier 2 team wins the Stage 2 playoffs of any VCT 2026 international league (Americas, EMEA, Pacific, or China). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Tier 2 team means any team that is not one of the partnered (franchised) organizations of a VCT 2026 international league (Americas, EMEA, Pacific, or China). Whether the organization holds league partner status is the sole determinant. Teams that entered their league's Stage 2 through the Play-In path as Challengers or National Competition participants are examples of Tier 2 teams. Partnership status will be assessed as of the start of the relevant league's Stage 2. Winning Stage 2 means being declared the champion of a league's VCT 2026 Stage 2 championship bracket, whatever specific format that league uses to conclude its Stage 2. Winning a group, a Play-In, or any individual match will not qualify. If a Tier 2 team wins any league's Stage 2, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. A champion's Tier 2 status is determined by the facts as of the start of that league's Stage 2, regardless of when those facts are confirmed; only the champion declaration itself must occur within the timeframe below. This market will remain open until every league that has not been cancelled has declared its Stage 2 champion, or until September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If every non-cancelled league declares a champion and none is a Tier 2 team, this market will resolve to "No". If any league has not declared a champion by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the champions declared by that time, resolving to "No" if none is a Tier 2 team. If no league declares a Stage 2 champion by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games and the VALORANT Champions Tour; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vct-2026-tier-2-team-to-win-a-stage-2-title
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
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