
Resolved No on 1 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 8.3% on 11 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 11 Apr 2024 to 1 May 2024, the highest close was 10.8% on 12 Apr 2024 and the lowest 1.1% on 1 May 2024. $50.27K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 11 Apr 2024 – 1 May 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2024 | 8.3% |
| 1 May 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @vaneck_us posts/tweets the word "retardio", between April 10, 2024, 10 AM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply posts/tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts/retweets will not count. Pluralization/possessive of the word, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however variant spellings of the word "retardio" will not. The resolution source for this market will be VanEck's verified X/Twitter account: https://twitter.com/vaneck_us. Please note, only the @vaneck_us verified X/Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If VanEck posts/tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/vaneck_us
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vaneck-tweet-retardio-in-april
| Imagine | Yes | 25.64 |
| soberplastic | Yes | 13.51 |
| nnnnn-091 | Yes | 0.01 |
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